Electoral victory is all about the voter preferences, caster arithmetic, religious polarization, pre-poll alliances public perception, current issues of the corruption and development and the governance. With a national perspective, an overwhelming victory in the major states with a maximum number of MP seats is critical and key to the success.
Kerala has a tradition of changing government in every five years. Kerala is not a swing state like Tamil Nadu. In Tamil Nadu for example, the party that wins wins by a landslide. Kerala had the pattern of giving power to UDF and LDF alternatively. The other truth is people are not having any other choice other than these two. The misrule of one party always makes the way for other to come to power. This pattern is almost seen in entire south India. As per the last elections it was a close fight and the condition looks the same. UDF has been weak in Kerala but CPM’s infighting makes LDF also look weak. Even if LDF is gaining from anti-incumbency vote, still it loses its base to Bharatiya Janata Party. BJP may or may not open its account in Kerala but its vote share will grow and will hurt LDF more than UDF the most. It’s a close fight with LDF having an edge.
Elections in Kerala have been on a regular and in proper procedural basis in order to fill government official at all levels of government in Kerala and India. The range stands from national elections to regional local body or Panchayat elections. State election commission in Kerala came into existence on 3 December 1993 as envisaged in Article 243(K) of the Constitution of India. The superintendence, direction and control of election to the local self-government institution vest with the Commission.
Kerala has always been swinging back and forth between LDF and UDF. After 5 years UDF is almost in a habit to see LDF coming back to power. UDF government was neck deep in corruption. LDF on the other hand launched very good campaign both in real world and in social media. Now, BJP led NDA did a lot of work and used a lot money, resources for their campaign and winning 1 seat, still is an under achievement. With the hyped up political arena in Kerala, BJP led NDA strikes hard for their dominance in the state by aiming to win next elections and with the normal pattern of voting in Kerala, which will be in continuation where people are forced to choose best among the worst.