With Alliances of parties already decided in many key states, political parties gear up in Election mode and will follow the tactics of standing up against what they preach, what they will project publically is again a different case altogether.
New Delhi: It was very much predicted the coalition between Samajwadi Party (SP) and Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) months before the formal announcement on January 12 has ensured the lineation of Lok Sabha polls 2019 taking a sharp formation.
The Bharatiya Janata Party faces an alarming challenge in Uttar Pradesh ahead of Lok Sabha polls 2019 especially after the coalition of two caste based political parties. Falling close to the tally of 71 seats with two for its ally is under scrutiny as it achieved in 2014 Lok Sabha Polls.
With Alliances of parties already decided in many key states, political parties gear up in Election mode and will follow the tactics of standing up against what they preach, what they will project publically is again a different case altogether. The numbers do the talking where, there are total of 12 states that send 20 or more MPs to the Lok Sabha. The co-joined statistics of these states contribute 423 MPs to the 543-member Lower House.
The current situation persisting in seven states like Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, Jharkhand, Rajasthan, Kerala and Karnataka has a two point indicators where either the alliances between the parties are fairly fixed or it’s a direct contest between the two major parties. The remaining five states- Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, West Bengal, Odisha and Maharashtra sends 175 MPs to the Lok Sabha.
The nature of the alliances has not been clear in these states except the fair prediction of the possible alliances in Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu with 48 seats and 39 seats respectively. This stands upto a figure of 335 seats for which the poll battle is clear rest 88 seats where the final word has not been written are from the most significant states.
The Hindi Heartland
Congress has been excluded from the Gathbandhan in Uttar Pradesh, but it can prove a major strategy source for consolidating anti-BJP votes. The main battle lines are also to be decided between SP-BSP and BJP. Whereas in Bihar, Congress is very much part of the Mahagathbandhan with Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), Hindustani Awam Morcha, Rashtriya Lok Samta Party (RLSP), Vikassheel Insaan Party and Loktantrik Janata Dal (LJD).
NDA alliance in Bihar has declared its seat share with alliance partners BJP, JD(U) and LJP. Rest key states of the Hindi belt like Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh has on an average BJP facing Congress directly.
Karnataka has the Congress and JD(S) as poll partners to contest Lok Sabha polls, and Congress and TDP have tied up against BJP in Andhra Pradesh but the way YSR Congress Jagan Reddy will go is still in question. Will he join hands with BJP or there will be a three cornered fight?
Kerala is yet to see an upcoming Third Front in the name of BJP as there will be a traditional Congress vs. Left in tussle. DMK and Congress alliance in Tamil Nadu looks solid where DMK chief Stalin endorsing name of Congress President Rahul Gandhi as the Prime Ministerial candidate. The very much predicted AIADMK and BJP coalition is on the way.
Tail ending part of the Alliance
Shiv Sena in recent times have been acting like any other opposition party at BJP, but fighting Lok Sabha polls all alone would cede a rise in the saffron vote to BJP. Hence, joining hands with BJP, who is a dominant party in the state, will be one of the options left for Sena.
In West Bengal, Trinamool Congress chief Mamata Banerjee seems reluctant to join hands with Congress and is ensuring that the party may keep BJP at bay. The current situation seems like TMC may go all alone. Finally, Odisha’s Naveen Patnaik is playing patently by remaining equidistant from both BJP and Congress.